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Things change quickly in poker
March 9, 2007

Steve Rosenbloom (detroit free press)
Read the original article HERE

One of the keys to winning no-limit hold 'em tournaments is to pay attention. Sounds basic, sure, but because the blinds and the button move after every hand, and because stack sizes do the same, poker becomes a situational game.

Late in a tournament, one of the keys you must pay attention to is the structure, specifically how quickly the blinds increase and how much they go up in relation to your chip count. The point is particularly acute in such things as sit-and-goes and multi-table bar leagues that move quickly. The Poker Superstars Invitational is a big-money sit-and-go event, and it was the blind structure in the second Poker Superstars Invitational that explained a surprising play by Mike Sexton, host of the World Poker Tour telecasts.

With blinds at $15,000-$30,000, Sexton drew pocket deuces while sitting on the second-shortest stack. In front of him on the short stack was David Sklansky, author of some revered poker books. Holding Q-J suited, Sklansky moved in for his $107,500. Sexton decided to call, a move he ordinarily wouldn't make.

"I probably shouldn't have called," Sexton said. "It's OK to move in with a small pair. Normally it's not the right thing to do to call with a small pair, because at best, you're going to be 50-50 or a slight underdog against any hand -- 8-9, 9-10 -- and if he has a pair, you're dead.

"I'm not a big fan of calling with small pairs when a guy in front of me moves in. I think it's a poor play. ... But it's situational. If the blinds and antes are getting ready to go up again and I had him covered and I thought he was a desperado, I was just gambling that my small pair would hold up and I'd win a pot where I got some chips."

Sklansky's suited overcards made him a 53-47% favorite when the money got in. When the flop came 7-3-7 with two clubs, Sklansky was almost a 3-2 favorite. But when the turn came the 4 of spades, Sexton became a 57-43 favorite, and his deuces held up when the river came the 10 of spades.

"If you know the blinds are going up in two hands and you're going to be the big blind when it gets there, you're better off to make a move prior to that with two deuces or a J-10 of hearts or 9-10 of hearts rather than try to hope you get some big hand when you're in the big blind," Sexton said. "These are the things that you have to recognize when you're sitting at the table, especially in a structure like the Poker Superstars, where the blinds and antes go up every 10 minutes."




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